User:Johnnybravo/HistoricalElo

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Revision as of 01:27, 24 December 2015 by Johnnybravo (talk | contribs) (summer 2012, and fuck change arrows)
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An effort to track the relative strength of each 4cc team throughout cup history.

Methodology

Elo ratings are calculated using the USCF rating system with the Elo Rating 2.0 software. Teams are given an initial rating of 1300 for their first official match. Official cup matches are the only matches used; despite friendlies counting toward the rankings at the time I will not be using those games. Any matches stricken from the official record books, such as those affected by Dragongate, are not accounted for. Penalty shootouts are counted as draws in the system.

When new teams are added to the cup, they are entered at the lowest ranking currently available in the table. For example, when /o/, /jp/, /tg/, and /co/ joined the cup in Winter 2012, they begin as tied at #17 in the rankings, and the change from that number is what is reflected in the table. Therefore, it is possible for a team to drop places in its' first-ever cup.

All matches are rated equally - the Elo system is designed so that teams are rewarded by playing higher-ranked opponents as opposed to volume of matches. While this may lead to discrepancy when the Babby Cup is first introduced, I am currently of the opinion that the rankings will stabilize appropriately.

2011 Summer Cup

Ranking Team Elo Change
1 Sp icon.png /sp/ 1790 Steady.png
2 A icon.png /a/ 1722 Steady.png
3 Ck icon.png /ck/ 1716 Steady.png
4 Mu icon.png /mu/ 1619 Steady.png
5 Fit icon.png /fit/ 1457 Steady.png
5 V icon.png /v/ 1457 Steady.png
7 Adv icon.png /adv/ 1333 Steady.png
7 G icon.png /g/ 1333 Steady.png
9 Fa icon.png /fa/ 1166 Steady.png
9 Int icon.png /int/ 1166 Steady.png
9 Tv icon.png /tv/ 1166 Steady.png
9 X icon.png /x/ 1166 Steady.png
13 B icon.png /b/ 900 Steady.png
13 K icon.png /k/ 900 Steady.png
13 S icon.png /s/ 900 Steady.png
13 Soc icon.png /soc/ 900 Steady.png

2012 Winter Cup

Ranking Team Elo Change
1 Sp icon.png /sp/ 1740 Steady.png
2 Ck icon.png /ck/ 1664 Increase.png 1
3 Fit icon.png /fit/ 1565 Increase.png 2
4 A icon.png /a/ 1561 Decrease2.png 2
5 K icon.png /k/ 1555 Increase.png 8
6 Mu icon.png /mu/ 1529 Decrease2.png 2
7 Tg icon.png /tg/ 1525 Increase.png 10
8 Co icon.png /co/ 1449 Increase.png 9
9 V icon.png /v/ 1347 Decrease2.png 4
10 Adv icon.png /adv/ 1333 Decrease2.png 3
11 G icon.png /g/ 1322 Decrease2.png 3
12 Jp icon.png /jp/ 1291 Increase.png 5
13 X icon.png /x/ 1281 Decrease2.png 4
14 Int icon.png /int/ 1166 Decrease2.png 5
15 B icon.png /b/ 1147 Decrease2.png 1
16 Fa icon.png /fa/ 1090 Decrease2.png 7
17 Tv icon.png /tv/ 1065 Decrease2.png 8
18 O icon.png /o/ 903 Decrease2.png 1
19 S icon.png /s/ 900 Decrease2.png 6
19 Soc icon.png /soc/ 900 Decrease2.png 6

2012 Spring Babby Cup

Ranking Team Elo Change
1 Sp icon.png /sp/ 1740 Steady.png
2 M icon.png /m/ 1619 Steady.png
3 Ck icon.png /ck/ 1596 Steady.png
4 A icon.png /a/ 1536 Increase.png 1
5 Fit icon.png /fit/ 1533 Decrease2.png 1
6 K icon.png /k/ 1502 Steady.png
7 Gif icon.png /gif/ 1500 Increase.png 3
8 Mu icon.png /mu/ 1484 Decrease2.png 1
9 3 icon.png /3/ 1514 Increase.png 12
10 Gif icon.png /gif/ 1500 Increase.png 11
11 D icon.png /d/ 1449 Increase.png 10
11 Co icon.png /co/ 1449 Decrease2.png 3
13 Cgl icon.png /cgl/ 1400 Increase.png 8
14 Sci icon.png /sci/ 1391 Increase.png 7
15 V icon.png /v/ 1347 Decrease2.png 6
16 R9k icon.png /r9k/ 1333 Increase.png 5
16 Adv icon.png /adv/ 1333 Decrease2.png 6
18 G icon.png /g/ 1322 Decrease2.png 7
19 Toy icon.png /toy/ 1316 Increase.png 2
20 Po icon.png /po/ 1300 Increase.png 1
21 Jp icon.png /jp/ 1291 Decrease2.png 9
22 X icon.png /x/ 1281 Decrease2.png 9
23 Pol icon.png /pol/ 1258 Decrease2.png 2
24 An icon.png /an/ 1200 Decrease2.png 3
25 B icon.png /b/ 1147 Decrease2.png 10
26 F icon.png /f/ 1133 Decrease2.png 5
27 Int icon.png /int/ 1129 Decrease2.png 13
28 Lit icon.png /lit/ 1100 Decrease2.png 7
29 Fa icon.png /fa/ 1090 Decrease2.png 13
30 Mlp icon.png /mlp/ 1066 Decrease2.png 9
31 Tv icon.png /tv/ 1065 Decrease2.png 14
32 Vp icon.png /vp/ 1000 Decrease2.png 11
33 S icon.png /s/ 950 Decrease2.png 14
34 O icon.png /o/ 903 Decrease2.png 16
35 Soc icon.png /soc/ 900 Decrease2.png 16

Note that while /cm/, /y/, and /n/ made their debuts in this tournament, their matches have been stricken from the record and thus those teams do not appear in the rankings.

2012 Summer Cup

editor's note: getting rid of the arrows here as they are proving to be a major time constraint. I will add them later if I revisit the project.

Ranking Team Elo
1 Sp icon.png /sp/ 1740
2 M icon.png /m/ 1619
3 Ck icon.png /ck/ 1596
4 A icon.png /a/ 1536
5 Fit icon.png /fit/ 1533
6 K icon.png /k/ 1502
7 Mu icon.png /mu/ 1484
8 Tg icon.png /tg/ 1482
9 Co icon.png /co/ 1461
10 Toy icon.png /toy/ 1459
11 Int icon.png /int/ 1453
12 D icon.png /d/ 1444
13 3 icon.png /3/ 1439
14 Cgl icon.png /cgl/ 1400
15 Pol icon.png /pol/ 1385
16 Sci icon.png /sci/ 1359
17 V icon.png /v/ 1335
18 R9k icon.png /r9k/ 1333
18 Adv icon.png /adv/ 1333
20 Po icon.png /po/ 1300
21 Jp icon.png /jp/ 1291
22 G icon.png /g/ 1283
23 X icon.png /x/ 1281
24 An icon.png /an/ 1200
25 Gif icon.png /gif/ 1195
26 Fa icon.png /fa/ 1156
27 Tv icon.png /tv/ 1146
28 F icon.png /f/ 1133
28 B icon.png /b/ 1133
30 Lit icon.png /lit/ 1100
31 Mlp icon.png /mlp/ 1066
32 Vp icon.png /vp/ 1000
33 S icon.png /s/ 950
34 O icon.png /o/ 903
35 Soc icon.png /soc/ 900